0x0f18937034A2a20178c3b7641305440157145b28-1767197506192
0x0f18937034a2a20178c3b7641305440157145b28
- Realised P&L
- $-951.98
- Volume
- $348.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,418
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,418
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.80at 0.539MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$175.36at 0.169US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$168.14at 0.178US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$155.66at 0.806US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$137.91at 0.273LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.41 | $22.83 |
| 10-01 13:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.43 | $4.32 |
| 10-01 13:46 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.99 |
| 10-01 13:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.90 |
| 10-01 13:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.34 | $7.58 |
| 10-01 13:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.19 |
| 10-01 13:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.19 |
| 10-01 13:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.19 |
| 10-01 13:33 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 10-01 13:32 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $15.00 |
| 10-01 12:44 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.14 |
| 10-01 12:44 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 10-01 12:44 | Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $24.29 |
| 10-01 12:38 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999529 | $3.72 |
| 10-01 12:17 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.90 |