PolyBot

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Traders

0x0f18937034A2a20178c3b7641305440157145b28-1767197506192

0x0f18937034a2a20178c3b7641305440157145b28

Realised P&L
$-951.98
Volume
$348.5k
Markets traded
3,418
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,418
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4480.375$151.16−$29.34
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9130.960$150.27+$7.33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7760.865$90.56+$9.36
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? · No0.7700.905$90.55+$13.55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5560.865$79.23+$28.25
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8300.998$72.14+$12.14
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9700.980$68.26+$0.63
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.7240.945$62.21+$14.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.965$61.30+$11.75
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9900.982$59.48−$0.51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0930.132$52.29+$15.38
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9120.960$50.51+$2.51
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6390.490$46.06−$13.94
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9550.989$41.40+$1.40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4020.596$41.32+$13.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 13:51SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.41$22.83
10-01 13:50SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.43$4.32
10-01 13:46Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.9$14.99
10-01 13:45SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.35$3.90
10-01 13:45SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.34$7.58
10-01 13:44SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.38$0.19
10-01 13:44SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.38$0.19
10-01 13:44SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?SELL0.38$0.19
10-01 13:33SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.3$12.00
10-01 13:32Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.93$15.00
10-01 12:44Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?SELL0.22$0.14
10-01 12:44Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$1.10
10-01 12:44Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?SELL0.22$24.29
10-01 12:38Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7299999529$3.72
10-01 12:17Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$5.90