0x0d3181b9ce92ee3aeb9fae0d2ea43ff391c5158e
- Realised P&L
- $-21.08
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $104.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.71at 0.068Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$13.42at 0.272Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
- +$12.60at 0.137Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.23at 0.267Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$7.71at 0.280Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 21:29 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.07 |
| 06-30 19:06 | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 19:01 | Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 19:01 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 19:00 | Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 19:00 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 18:59 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.68 |
| 06-30 18:57 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 18:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.92 |
| 06-30 18:50 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.03 |
| 06-30 18:37 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.20 |
| 06-30 18:30 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 18:30 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 15:15 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 15:14 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |