PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

e88888

0x0d15e2724df455f9e65b15104d21d76412a2c454

Realised P&L
$-19.5k
Volume
$5.53M
Markets traded
189
Open portfolio
$192.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded189
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9690.995$51.1k+$1.3k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9610.962$28.8k+$15.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8510.970$24.5k+$3.0k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8050.961$17.4k+$2.8k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8190.962$15.4k+$2.3k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9140.975$9.7k+$605.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.8990.914$9.1k+$150.01
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.910$7.8k+$1.0k
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7020.865$4.8k+$899.12
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.7500.875$4.4k+$625.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7600.935$4.3k+$802.06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7470.745$4.2k$10.27
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8500.949$2.8k+$297.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.4080.875$2.1k+$1.1k
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7600.855$1.7k+$190.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 04:41Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.961$61.97
08-16 03:17Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.899$860.31
08-03 20:54NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$34.99
08-03 20:54Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.55$165.00
08-03 20:52Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.95$2.5k
07-29 15:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.64$958.40
07-29 15:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.62$469.80
07-27 16:51Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.69$3.5k
07-27 16:50US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.9759866309$375.24
07-19 21:11Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.252$105.41
07-13 17:52Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.969$5.7k
07-08 19:19Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.972$1.3k
07-07 23:15Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.94$3.5k
06-22 09:20Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.6$8.7k
06-15 06:32US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9678963474$25.0k