e88888
0x0d15e2724df455f9e65b15104d21d76412a2c454
- Realised P&L
- $-20.5k
- Volume
- $5.43M
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $205.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.4kat 0.260Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$18.4kat 0.611US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$17.4kat 0.393Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
- +$16.9kat 0.773Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$16.2kat 0.863Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 15:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $958.40 |
| 07-29 15:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.62 | $469.80 |
| 07-27 16:51 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.5k |
| 07-27 16:50 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.9759866309 | $375.24 |
| 07-19 21:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.252 | $105.41 |
| 07-13 17:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.969 | $5.7k |
| 07-08 19:19 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.972 | $1.3k |
| 07-07 23:15 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.5k |
| 06-22 09:20 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $8.7k |
| 06-15 06:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9678963474 | $25.0k |
| 06-14 18:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $833.20 |
| 06-14 18:07 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $521.56 |
| 06-14 18:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.0k |
| 06-13 14:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7832393039 | $1.9k |
| 06-13 14:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.761925604 | $3.8k |