Angelhartit76
0x0ce2600532761d9e55d144f3cbab03bb879cae1f
- Realised P&L
- $2.58
- Volume
- $84.49
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $18.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.635 | $3.40 | +$0.19 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? · No | 0.730 | 0.710 | $3.12 | −$0.09 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.585 | $3.03 | −$0.18 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.529 | 0.539 | $2.31 | +$0.04 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.155 | $1.78 | −$0.42 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.205 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.630 | 0.625 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.590 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.830 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.69at 0.495Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.11at 0.802Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 08:04 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5289999152 | $2.27 |
| 10-16 07:52 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? | BUY | 0.7299999841 | $3.21 |
| 10-16 07:51 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.21 |
| 10-16 07:49 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6199999691 | $3.21 |
| 10-15 16:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.48 |
| 10-15 16:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.71 | $9.49 |
| 10-14 13:57 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:48 | Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.30 |
| 10-14 13:43 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999569 | $3.48 |
| 10-14 13:18 | Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999847 | $5.03 |
| 10-14 13:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799998895 | $1.39 |