PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Anomymous

0x0cbaab2d3f6cc5998e78cc1969c6ee1f4d1392d3

Realised P&L
$-10.2k
Volume
$498.5k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$126.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8610.795$30.0k$2.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.9000.585$15.9k$8.6k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9580.979$14.5k+$307.31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9440.981$13.2k+$494.67
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9350.922$11.0k$147.80
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9350.960$10.7k+$267.85
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9460.955$8.6k+$76.83
NATO article 5 before 2027? · No0.9110.935$6.7k+$172.85
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9210.935$5.6k+$80.67
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8260.890$5.0k+$360.54
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.905$4.5k+$75.00
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent? · No0.8710.925$42.48+$2.48
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.8820.635$29.25$11.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.5640.001$0.89$999.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:17Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8$150.00
08-02 18:13Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.9229999974$100.00
08-02 11:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.560049418$102.00
08-02 11:37Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.62$14.28
08-02 11:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.57$158.89
08-01 11:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7599999927$100.00
08-01 11:39Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.67$15.42
08-01 10:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.47$131.01
07-31 19:55Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.57$157.50
07-31 19:55Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.57$629.99
07-31 19:55Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.5576771056$2.5k
07-31 19:50Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.6271524664$3.7k
07-31 18:49Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.88$19.80
07-31 18:23Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?SELL0.9986593983$10.6k
07-12 13:16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$24.41