Anomymous
0x0cbaab2d3f6cc5998e78cc1969c6ee1f4d1392d3
- Realised P&L
- $-10.2k
- Volume
- $498.5k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $126.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.925Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$953.70at 0.951US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
- +$705.32at 0.905Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$376.23at 0.955Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
- +$325.32at 0.855Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $150.00 |
| 08-02 18:13 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.9229999974 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 11:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.560049418 | $102.00 |
| 08-02 11:37 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $14.28 |
| 08-02 11:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $158.89 |
| 08-01 11:43 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7599999927 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 11:39 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $15.42 |
| 08-01 10:22 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $131.01 |
| 07-31 19:55 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $157.50 |
| 07-31 19:55 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $629.99 |
| 07-31 19:55 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.5576771056 | $2.5k |
| 07-31 19:50 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.6271524664 | $3.7k |
| 07-31 18:49 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $19.80 |
| 07-31 18:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.9986593983 | $10.6k |
| 07-12 13:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.41 |