0x1ef01de817862024966e8242e923a6
0x0c233406ed2e9022effc3fd63eb22f4d92fc01c6
- Realised P&L
- $76.39
- Volume
- $44.8k
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.82at 0.620Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
- +$190.99at 0.682Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
- +$129.70at 0.134Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
- +$118.00at 0.503Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
- +$114.87at 0.624Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 14:06 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.88 |
| 10-13 14:05 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 10-13 13:56 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.8194117647 | $139.30 |
| 10-13 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |
| 10-13 10:28 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.9468915663 | $157.18 |
| 10-12 15:48 | Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.21 |
| 10-12 13:11 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $32.00 |
| 10-10 14:46 | Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.50 |
| 10-10 11:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-09 16:34 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.378 | $18.90 |
| 10-09 16:33 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.6 | $18.90 |
| 10-08 16:53 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.6995257854 | $295.02 |
| 10-08 15:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.048 | $16.80 |
| 10-08 15:02 | Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.795 | $88.25 |