PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0c154c190E293B7e5F8D453b5F690C4dC9599A45-1775083003603

0x0c154c190e293b7e5f8d453b5f690c4dc9599a45

Realised P&L
$-917.3k
Volume
$15.13M
Markets traded
1,087
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,087
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Panthers vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5 · Over0.5080.465$1.5k−$142.01
Rutgers vs. Maryland: O/U 57.5 · Under0.5340.505$1.1k−$61.37
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7380.735$706.55−$3.19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5250.605$373.59+$49.55
Spread: Oklahoma (-6.5) · Oklahoma0.5200.530$283.55+$5.35
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9490.960$232.47+$2.66
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3700.865$226.19+$129.44
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6830.725$209.63+$12.23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6400.635$155.51−$1.22
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6900.725$125.49+$6.07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2050.141$113.16−$52.12
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · No0.6950.950$83.12+$22.35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5010.395$68.78−$18.45
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.2920.715$9.78+$5.78
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$8.67−$2.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 06:53Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:53Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:53Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:53Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:53Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:48Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:48Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:48Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:48Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:48Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:43Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:43Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:43Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:43Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-14 06:43Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$1.00