ChristopherGardner4578
0x0ad5bfe2cb15b4045df16bb0a87f5245f2076f41
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $239.7k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.160US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
- +$773.37at 0.283Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 6, 2026?
- +$493.79at 0.330Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
- +$476.37at 0.330Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5
- +$437.50at 0.300Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:23 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $102.96 |
| 04-21 08:46 | Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 04-21 03:38 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $413.25 |
| 04-21 03:37 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $361.92 |
| 04-21 02:59 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $544.50 |
| 04-13 13:20 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $784.08 |
| 04-13 04:35 | Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24? | SELL | 0.43 | $229.62 |
| 04-13 04:34 | Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24? | SELL | 0.43 | $115.67 |
| 04-12 09:18 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | SELL | 0.41 | $186.55 |
| 04-11 19:41 | Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April? | SELL | 0.69 | $10.35 |
| 04-11 14:16 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $536.25 |
| 04-11 12:46 | Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24? | BUY | 0.53 | $425.59 |
| 04-11 09:51 | GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.41 | $248.05 |
| 04-11 08:46 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 04-11 08:26 | Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |