PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0A1f1dDe1960FE9cf66781Baf0618f3dA7473F89-1764751595222

0x0a1f1dde1960fe9cf66781baf0618f3da7473f89

Realised P&L
$-41.71
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$37.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1401.000$7.14+$6.14
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · No0.8401.000$5.95+$0.95
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? · 80k0.6201.000$4.84+$1.84
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3530.141$2.79−$4.21
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? · 80k0.8271.000$2.42+$0.42
Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026? · Yes0.4201.000$2.38+$1.38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.4601.000$2.17+$1.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.5101.000$1.96+$0.96
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5400.484$1.79−$0.21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3000.222$1.48−$0.52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9300.972$1.04+$0.04
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.6000.590$0.98−$0.02
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2580.105$0.81−$1.19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.090$0.50−$0.50
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.155$0.41−$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-29 09:21Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?BUY0.5519999382$2.00
01-28 22:16Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
01-28 22:09Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.033999968$1.00
01-28 22:08Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.033999968$1.00
01-28 22:07Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?BUY0.5144500282$10.00
01-28 21:42Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?SELL0.989$1.09
01-28 21:42Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.13$1.44
01-28 21:42Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.154$1.81
01-28 21:40Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
01-28 21:40Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?BUY0.4$2.00
01-28 21:40Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?BUY0.8$2.00
01-28 21:37Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?BUY0.32$1.00
01-28 21:37Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
01-28 21:37Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?BUY0.6$1.00
01-28 21:36Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?BUY0.6199999297$3.00