Poltergeist94
0x07bb880804a4444587699f3c5e5f07d19e15fcca
- Realised P&L
- $55.32
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 541
- Open portfolio
- $651.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded541
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.18at 0.273Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
- +$19.04at 0.681Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group D
- +$15.96at 0.532Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
- +$14.49at 0.720Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs
- +$13.61at 0.620Will SPD win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:27 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.6199999945 | $13.58 |
| 09-17 21:27 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.8399999973 | $37.16 |
| 09-17 20:54 | Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.92 | $23.11 |
| 09-17 20:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999742 | $3.57 |
| 09-17 19:47 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.563 | $16.31 |
| 09-17 13:31 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | SELL | 0.86 | $8.43 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $15.68 |
| 09-16 23:15 | Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group B | SELL | 0.8 | $9.50 |
| 09-16 22:00 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor Townsend | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.24 |
| 09-16 21:55 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | BUY | 0.5599999674 | $5.49 |
| 09-16 20:38 | Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5) | SELL | 0.62 | $21.08 |
| 09-16 20:20 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5) | SELL | 0.12 | $1.35 |
| 09-16 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.93 |
| 09-16 18:38 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.5899999884 | $12.67 |