Poltergeist94
0x07bb880804a4444587699f3c5e5f07d19e15fcca
- Realised P&L
- $-35.86
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $604.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.93at 0.260Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
- +$11.33at 0.600Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 26?
- +$10.31at 0.586Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?
- +$9.68at 0.620Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.60at 0.613OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.8699999975 | $24.77 |
| 08-02 23:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $18.82 |
| 08-02 23:00 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.51 |
| 08-02 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.48 |
| 08-02 15:32 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $24.09 |
| 08-02 11:18 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.2 | $2.53 |
| 08-02 09:25 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7099999953 | $8.98 |
| 08-02 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.6299999624 | $4.86 |
| 08-02 06:08 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.557 | $11.39 |
| 08-02 04:13 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $17.31 |
| 08-02 02:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $21.22 |
| 08-02 00:43 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.5952732644 | $8.06 |
| 08-02 00:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.97 | $22.67 |
| 08-02 00:42 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.76 | $10.12 |
| 08-02 00:41 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.66 |