PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x07326e85e38BacDbA9F527dD4CC1fEEB51dC33f1-1768474646264

0x07326e85e38bacdba9f527dd4cc1feeb51dc33f1

Realised P&L
$-0.85
Volume
$8.1k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$139.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5100.795$38.97+$13.97
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5090.431$21.19−$3.81
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.7500.895$11.93+$1.93
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7600.875$11.51+$1.51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8090.853$10.54+$0.54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5240.438$8.36−$1.64
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.2800.967$6.90+$4.90
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.4860.135$5.55−$14.45
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.4540.050$5.45−$44.55
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1190.039$3.27−$6.73
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2100.045$3.21−$11.79
Revolut IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1370.037$2.70−$7.30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1170.019$2.50−$12.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1650.123$2.25−$0.75
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.019$1.39−$3.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 11:42Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.75$10.00
08-26 11:41Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.5090836409$25.00
08-26 11:41Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
08-26 11:40GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.1194029851$10.00
08-26 11:38Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8089999319$10.00
08-26 11:38Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.7599999878$10.00
08-26 11:38Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.4861111003$20.00
08-05 12:43Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.259999948$3.00
08-05 12:42Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.5$5.00
08-05 12:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.16$5.00
08-05 12:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.78$18.56
07-27 21:40Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5239999878$10.00
07-20 12:28Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
07-20 12:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
07-20 12:22Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?BUY0.064$5.00