0x07326e85e38BacDbA9F527dD4CC1fEEB51dC33f1-1768474646264
0x07326e85e38bacdba9f527dd4cc1feeb51dc33f1
- Realised P&L
- $-0.85
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $139.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.77at 0.159Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$104.08at 0.490Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$81.25at 0.480Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$32.08at 0.757Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$23.83at 0.303Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 11:42 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 11:41 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5090836409 | $25.00 |
| 08-26 11:41 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 11:40 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.1194029851 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 11:38 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8089999319 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 11:38 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 11:38 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.4861111003 | $20.00 |
| 08-05 12:43 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 12:42 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 12:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 12:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $18.56 |
| 07-27 21:40 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5239999878 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 12:28 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 12:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 12:22 | Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27? | BUY | 0.064 | $5.00 |