cheesymm
0x06d248d4f372601d24192284bff919a2c05dfb27
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$219.59at 0.394Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$122.50at 0.510Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5
- +$104.68at 0.207Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$93.35at 0.757Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$58.83at 0.634Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 03:53 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2 | $63.26 |
| 09-04 21:05 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.198 | $63.52 |
| 09-01 23:55 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.2461222892 | $81.71 |
| 09-01 02:29 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.1061208791 | $38.63 |
| 08-31 22:24 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0511914467 | $19.14 |
| 08-31 16:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.103 | $36.96 |
| 08-31 15:35 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 08-30 09:16 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.147473123 | $50.34 |
| 08-30 03:14 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.05 | $13.30 |
| 08-28 13:40 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.051 | $19.36 |
| 08-26 15:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $14.62 |
| 08-25 22:10 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.65 |
| 08-25 18:46 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $28.42 |
| 08-24 02:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.27 | $78.84 |
| 08-23 12:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.665 | $13.30 |