albert.00
0x0655a192f76f1e512e20d3aa51b7917384bd475d
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $111.3k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $860.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.904 | 0.805 | $712.23 | −$87.77 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.690 | $139.86 | −$10.13 |
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.814 | 0.054 | $5.31 | −$74.69 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.844 | 0.013 | $2.96 | −$197.04 |
| Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.399 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.177Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$1.7kat 0.306Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?
- +$1.5kat 0.165Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
- +$1.5kat 0.200Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$1.5kat 0.428Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 14:24 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 14:24 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.9086672851 | $300.00 |
| 07-04 14:18 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-04 14:18 | Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.9199999965 | $200.00 |
| 07-04 14:16 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-04 12:07 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.9077460665 | $300.00 |
| 07-04 12:07 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999986 | $400.00 |
| 07-04 12:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $500.00 |
| 06-28 14:55 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.820161341 | $100.00 |
| 06-28 14:52 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.3989999903 | $20.00 |
| 06-28 14:52 | Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? | BUY | 0.5499999895 | $50.00 |
| 06-28 14:18 | Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.8924144769 | $200.00 |
| 06-28 14:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8669656201 | $100.00 |
| 06-28 14:17 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 06-07 13:19 | Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8349900594 | $100.00 |