trader-04ad8cb0
0x04ad8cb08f04b58fbcea273603d6cd151ba8adb4
- Realised P&L
- $-303.73
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 757
- Open portfolio
- $178.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded757
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.49at 0.268UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$62.60at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$55.05at 0.083Ethereum Up or Down on July 6?
- +$38.78at 0.422Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?
- +$35.14at 0.093XRP Up or Down - July 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:36 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.908 | $4.54 |
| 09-26 20:19 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $3.50 |
| 09-26 20:19 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.913 | $4.57 |
| 09-26 20:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-26 20:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-26 18:46 | Spread: Slovakia (-3.5) | SELL | 0.78 | $2.08 |
| 09-26 18:46 | Spread: Slovakia (-3.5) | SELL | 0.78 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 18:46 | Spread: Slovakia (-3.5) | SELL | 0.78 | $0.93 |
| 09-26 18:46 | Spread: Slovakia (-3.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $1.51 |
| 09-26 18:46 | Spread: Slovakia (-3.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $0.90 |
| 09-26 18:42 | Spread: Slovakia (-3.5) | BUY | 0.81 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 18:00 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-26 16:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-26 14:16 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 09-26 13:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |