PolyBot

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Traders

trader-04ad8cb0

0x04ad8cb08f04b58fbcea273603d6cd151ba8adb4

Realised P&L
$-303.73
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
757
Open portfolio
$178.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded757
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 20:36Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.908$4.54
09-26 20:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$3.50
09-26 20:19Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?BUY0.913$4.57
09-26 20:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.75$3.75
09-26 20:16Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.75$3.75
09-26 18:46Spread: Slovakia (-3.5)SELL0.78$2.08
09-26 18:46Spread: Slovakia (-3.5)SELL0.78$3.00
09-26 18:46Spread: Slovakia (-3.5)SELL0.78$0.93
09-26 18:46Spread: Slovakia (-3.5)SELL0.52$1.51
09-26 18:46Spread: Slovakia (-3.5)SELL0.52$0.90
09-26 18:42Spread: Slovakia (-3.5)BUY0.81$10.00
09-26 18:00Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.75$3.75
09-26 16:45Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.75$3.75
09-26 14:16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?BUY0.92$4.60
09-26 13:02Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.75$3.75