PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

4skin1

0x03a9c7bf8e461bcecb1caa00e3f46f466d799514

Realised P&L
$-41.98
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$33.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6200.425$6.85$3.15
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.705$6.18+$1.18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.595$5.72+$0.72
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.1030.308$2.98+$1.98
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3900.285$2.19$0.81
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.3400.735$2.16+$1.16
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? · Yes0.5700.490$1.72$0.28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7470.841$1.13+$0.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8590.959$1.12+$0.12
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.135$0.75$0.25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1300.075$0.58$0.42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0690.038$0.56$0.44
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$0.55$0.45
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8600.455$0.53$0.47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1710.075$0.44$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:47Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his Rose Garden dinner?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-17 23:47Will Trump say "Midterm" during his Rose Garden dinner?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-17 23:47Will Trump say "Inflation" during his Rose Garden dinner?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-17 23:46Will Trump say "Election" during his Rose Garden dinner?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-17 23:45Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.1033735546$1.00
08-30 17:55Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-30 17:55Will Dell say "Trump" during earnings call?BUY0.08$1.00
08-30 17:54Will Dell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
08-27 13:12Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-27 13:11Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.2$1.00
08-27 13:11Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-27 13:11Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-27 13:11Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-27 13:10Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-21 10:41Will Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his announcement?BUY0.3699998631$1.00