4skin1
0x03a9c7bf8e461bcecb1caa00e3f46f466d799514
- Realised P&L
- $-41.98
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $33.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.37at 0.278Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 6?
- +$8.16at 0.386Will the announcers say "Red Card" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$6.78at 0.689Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$5.74at 0.349Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$3.60at 0.460Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:47 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his Rose Garden dinner? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:47 | Will Trump say "Midterm" during his Rose Garden dinner? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:47 | Will Trump say "Inflation" during his Rose Garden dinner? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:46 | Will Trump say "Election" during his Rose Garden dinner? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 23:45 | Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.1033735546 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 17:55 | Will Dell say "China" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 17:55 | Will Dell say "Trump" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 17:54 | Will Dell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 13:12 | Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 13:11 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 13:11 | Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 13:11 | Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 13:11 | Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 13:10 | Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 10:41 | Will Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his announcement? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |