0x02b8f0E8642E4aE0Af25e5f30eF2Fc311200ff77-1752476808623
0x02b8f0e8642e4ae0af25e5f30ef2fc311200ff77
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $67.0k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.095Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$170.18at 0.164Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$115.37at 0.500US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?
- +$105.00at 0.300Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$76.91at 0.244Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 02:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 10-22 05:35 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $120.00 |
| 10-22 04:59 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? | BUY | 0.053 | $9.27 |
| 10-21 06:52 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $69.00 |
| 10-21 06:51 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $66.00 |
| 09-01 20:04 | NATO article 5 before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 08-12 04:10 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.8938844732 | $300.00 |
| 08-12 04:10 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.1057899175 | $62.72 |
| 08-12 03:32 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.6 | $24.00 |
| 08-12 03:32 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.568 | $2.84 |
| 08-12 03:32 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.618 | $3.09 |
| 08-12 03:31 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.6173333333 | $9.26 |
| 08-12 03:29 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%? | BUY | 0.07 | $11.20 |
| 08-12 03:26 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.7095530667 | $53.22 |
| 08-12 03:23 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.00 |