PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x02b8f0E8642E4aE0Af25e5f30eF2Fc311200ff77-1752476808623

0x02b8f0e8642e4ae0af25e5f30ef2fc311200ff77

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$64.3k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1140.165$464.12+$142.50
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0950.115$308.41+$53.41
NATO article 5 before 2027? · No0.9400.947$189.40+$1.40
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.6600.695$139.00+$7.00
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.013$135.52$9.47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9400.962$96.15+$2.15
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.8600.935$93.50+$7.50
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.875$87.50+$1.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.835$83.50+$7.50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.745$74.50$0.50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8600.885$43.37+$1.23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3690.512$41.67+$11.67
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.595$22.88+$2.88
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3400.155$14.13$16.87
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8300.895$10.78+$0.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 20:04NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.94$188.00
08-12 04:10Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.8938844732$300.00
08-12 04:10Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.1057899175$62.72
08-12 03:32Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.6$24.00
08-12 03:32Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.568$2.84
08-12 03:32Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.618$3.09
08-12 03:31Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.6173333333$9.26
08-12 03:29Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?BUY0.07$11.20
08-12 03:26Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7095530667$53.22
08-12 03:23Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.8$15.00
08-12 03:10Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.6486593045$100.00
08-12 03:10Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.6245$99.92
08-05 17:06Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.66$13.20
07-31 12:36Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.86$42.14
07-31 12:35Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.909$90.90