PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zb8

0x0224bb9eb0a5c9fd261ac9123a72cbdd5748292a

Realised P&L
$376.9k
Volume
$22.43M
Markets traded
1,155
Open portfolio
$144.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,155
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.7750.875$49.5k+$5.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7350.835$38.4k+$4.6k
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9430.953$19.0k+$197.70
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4390.595$13.7k+$3.6k
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5980.765$7.8k+$1.7k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8100.895$7.2k+$680.01
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9630.980$6.8k+$114.22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9280.958$2.0k+$61.38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? · No0.9600.995$257.55+$8.93
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? · Yes0.8370.898$77.96+$5.36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$3.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 01:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$17.6k
09-15 01:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$99.8k
09-15 01:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$3.1k
09-06 12:11LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.29$770.34
09-06 12:10LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.32$756.67
09-06 12:09LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.399804878$409.80
09-06 12:06LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.63$2.8k
09-06 12:05LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.63$9.6k
09-06 12:02LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerSELL0.999$24.0k
09-06 11:25LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3165550207$6.3k
09-06 11:24LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3379235205$1.5k
09-06 11:12LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.54$13.0k
09-06 11:06LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.66$3.5k
09-06 10:45LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 WinnerSELL0.999$29.2k
09-06 10:33LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.06$507.97