PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zb8

0x0224bb9eb0a5c9fd261ac9123a72cbdd5748292a

Realised P&L
$576.1k
Volume
$28.57M
Markets traded
1,361
Open portfolio
$141.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,361
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.8200.930$78.1k+$9.2k
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9450.964$21.1k+$411.71
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4390.705$16.2k+$6.1k
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.986$6.8k+$3.4k
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7900.745$6.0k−$360.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.705$5.6k+$279.93
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8100.945$2.8k+$405.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7350.825$2.1k+$227.96
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9280.973$2.0k+$92.59
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? · Yes0.7680.804$490.97+$22.48
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9990.997$4.98−$0.01
Patriots vs. Bears · Patriots0.3300.000$0.00−$6.6k
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5 · Under0.5360.000$0.00−$11.2k
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5 · Over0.5350.000$0.00−$11.6k
Rams vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$10.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:01Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)BUY0.5$5.0k
10-31 23:06LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.53$308.61
10-31 23:03LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.5840426636$32.6k
10-31 23:00LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.44$12.2k
10-31 21:58LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.56$8.6k
10-31 20:46LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.36$36.0k
10-31 19:52LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.61$5.2k
10-31 18:07LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.42$18.3k
10-31 18:05LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.42$11.4k
10-31 17:13LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59$784.42
10-31 17:11LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.59$8.6k
10-31 17:09LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.42$565.94
10-31 16:43LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5699999886$5.00
10-31 15:42Senators vs. SharksBUY0.57$3.3k
10-31 02:19Spread: Lakers (-2.5)BUY0.34$416.16