PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

poolcIeaner

0x0164c35d78f87db2658044c2c64d92254c309ed6

Realised P&L
$19.1k
Volume
$11.85M
Markets traded
974
Open portfolio
$54.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded974
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8730.915$9.2k+$420.05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6540.805$6.8k+$1.3k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.7970.935$6.5k+$964.49
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8730.925$5.1k+$287.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.6580.775$3.9k+$585.59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.7740.920$2.8k+$439.13
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6580.786$2.8k+$449.96
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · No0.8510.935$2.5k+$227.58
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8950.969$1.9k+$148.14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7410.930$1.9k+$378.79
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.3910.925$1.9k+$1.1k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5270.665$1.3k+$275.02
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · No0.9280.968$1.1k+$43.33
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9700.969$968.50$1.50
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8660.915$732.03+$39.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 15:28Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?BUY0.95$190.53
08-03 15:25Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.97$485.00
08-03 15:19Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.91$22.75
08-03 15:17Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.97$485.00
08-03 09:41Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.38$0.78
08-03 09:40Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6887698229$89.47
08-03 09:39Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.34$20.00
08-03 09:39Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.4$39.18
08-02 12:40Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.4$7.20
08-02 12:38Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.38$7.60
08-02 10:21Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?BUY0.209$1.04
08-02 10:21Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?BUY0.209$1.04
08-02 09:12Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.704$8.28
08-02 08:42Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?BUY0.2035446719$10.64
08-01 18:30Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.12$1.68