0x00000d5a4c33fb0cb8a88bfbc7e8fe034f5ec9ef
0x00000d5a4c33fb0cb8a88bfbc7e8fe034f5ec9ef
- Realised P&L
- $-3.18
- Volume
- $515.98
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $87.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.54at 0.270Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.62at 0.933Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$0.81at 0.930US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$0.52at 0.937Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$0.52at 0.790Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 19:00 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.9679999087 | $1.95 |
| 09-27 18:58 | Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31? | BUY | 0.9399999807 | $1.95 |
| 09-27 18:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.9099996294 | $1.94 |
| 09-27 18:55 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.8999998615 | $3.90 |
| 09-27 18:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999065 | $3.84 |
| 09-02 16:37 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4699999425 | $2.86 |
| 08-27 21:14 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9169999858 | $1.94 |
| 08-27 21:12 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.029092437 | $1.52 |
| 08-27 21:11 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.23 |
| 08-18 20:03 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.3134973589 | $3.90 |
| 08-18 20:00 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.9639999901 | $1.95 |
| 08-18 19:59 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0357135088 | $1.87 |
| 08-18 19:58 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1770000085 | $3.77 |
| 08-18 19:58 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999578 | $3.90 |
| 07-18 18:50 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5969999315 | $1.91 |