PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x00000d5a4c33fb0cb8a88bfbc7e8fe034f5ec9ef

0x00000d5a4c33fb0cb8a88bfbc7e8fe034f5ec9ef

Realised P&L
$-3.18
Volume
$515.98
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$87.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.7730.974$15.82+$3.26
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No0.8820.963$14.80+$1.23
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5810.911$7.48+$2.71
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1770.336$7.15+$3.38
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.8720.993$5.51+$0.67
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5140.495$4.60−$0.17
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.9000.885$3.83−$0.06
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6300.625$3.81−$0.03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.765$3.51−$0.39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.865$2.38+$0.43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8400.945$2.19+$0.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · No0.9101.000$2.13+$0.19
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9170.993$2.10+$0.16
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · No0.9591.000$2.06+$0.08
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9510.982$2.01+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 19:00US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.9679999087$1.95
09-27 18:58Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?BUY0.9399999807$1.95
09-27 18:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?BUY0.9099996294$1.94
09-27 18:55Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.8999998615$3.90
09-27 18:51Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6299999065$3.84
09-02 16:37Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4699999425$2.86
08-27 21:14Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.9169999858$1.94
08-27 21:12Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.029092437$1.52
08-27 21:11U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?SELL0.26$3.23
08-18 20:03U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.3134973589$3.90
08-18 20:00Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.9639999901$1.95
08-18 19:59Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.0357135088$1.87
08-18 19:58Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1770000085$3.77
08-18 19:58Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2699999578$3.90
07-18 18:50Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5969999315$1.91