Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.55. up 0.29 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.27 to 0.55. 12 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	137	137
0.97	30	167
0.98	50	217
0.99	10	227

Spread0.06Mid0.55

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	356	356
0.50	20	376
0.30	300	676
0.10	21	697
0.04	79	776
0.03	133	909
0.01	421	1,330

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	356	356
0.50	20	376
0.70	300	676
0.90	21	697
0.96	79	776
0.97	133	909
0.99	421	1,330

Spread0.06Mid0.45

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	137	137
0.03	30	167
0.02	50	217
0.01	10	227

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
dfupagain	Yes	227.5
AMAM13	No	62
AllyouneedisClaude	No	34.1
GuyFromTinder	No	30
pootytherewardfarmer	No	21.4
Tallguy2527	No	20
JsonStatham	No	20
lolzzzlol	No	20
2sigma	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:46:39	SELL	No	0.42	20	$8.40
03:50:38	BUY	Yes	0.43	228	$97.83
03:50:38	BUY	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80
03:50:38	BUY	Yes	0.4496774194	43	$19.52
03:50:38	BUY	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80