PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AllyouneedisClaude

0x47084c8677adbbe81b42036d6095ccb190da9580

Realised P&L
$-25.7k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
3,056
Open portfolio
$840.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,056
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6100.555$120.00−$11.89
Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? · Yes0.6900.560$107.30−$24.91
Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams? · No0.3200.440$84.30+$22.99
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5700.385$79.08−$38.00
Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No0.6400.565$59.43−$7.89
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? · No0.5000.258$59.26−$55.59
Will Utah State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · O 4.50.5600.275$55.71−$57.74
Will Eyüpspor be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig? · No0.7400.390$49.20−$44.16
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? · Yes0.5100.415$39.96−$9.15
Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? · No0.7100.485$39.88−$18.50
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.4200.255$37.82−$24.47
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.3100.205$30.49−$15.62
Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) record the most assists in the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes0.6000.475$24.63−$6.48
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 400k? · Yes0.5700.205$24.06−$42.84
Will Miami Heat advance to the Eastern Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.5800.200$17.70−$33.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 12:22Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 28?SELL0.31$0.00
09-26 12:22Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on September 28?BUY0.5999999963$32.65
09-26 09:42Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.12$0.00
09-26 09:41Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.789999998$23.96
09-26 07:50Will "Patient Zero" hit 50m first week streams?BUY0.32$61.31
09-26 06:55Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams?SELL0.051$2.56
09-26 06:40Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.6$0.01
09-26 06:37Will Eyüpspor be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?SELL0.27$5.40
09-26 06:17Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams?SELL0.01$1.00
09-26 06:16Will "Patient Zero" hit 80m first week streams?SELL0.01$0.06
09-26 06:13Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k?SELL0.18$4.06
09-26 06:09Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?BUY0.37$7.40
09-26 04:34Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?BUY0.7699999996$97.97
09-26 01:23Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?BUY0.55$110.00
09-26 01:19Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.4906051258$20.67