dfupagain
0x768fec713e26800eef968ea838a2e28267b2c7bd
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $334.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,108
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,108
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$481.70at 0.066Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?
- +$475.23at 0.287MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$455.16at 0.460US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$391.99at 0.347US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
- +$376.00at 0.510Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 12:03 | US imports Russian diesel by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $12.75 |
| 10-11 17:14 | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 10-11 05:59 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 10-11 05:51 | Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-11 05:49 | Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $29.20 |
| 10-11 04:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5398039216 | $55.06 |
| 10-11 04:47 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.419656271 | $50.06 |
| 10-11 04:47 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3254668708 | $29.77 |
| 10-09 13:18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BUY | 0.933 | $93.30 |
| 10-09 13:18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | BUY | 0.988 | $73.96 |
| 10-05 15:41 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.54 |
| 10-05 15:40 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $24.15 |
| 10-03 12:46 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $78.00 |
| 10-03 03:50 | Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $97.83 |
| 10-01 04:33 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |