PolyBot

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Traders

dfupagain

0x768fec713e26800eef968ea838a2e28267b2c7bd

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$334.1k
Markets traded
1,108
Open portfolio
$7.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,108
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.715$2.9k+$860.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.285$1.1k−$860.00
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8650.914$211.34+$11.47
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.999$199.80+$15.80
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.9320.982$196.30+$9.90
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9050.980$195.90+$14.90
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8300.945$189.00+$23.00
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft? · Yes0.3750.885$185.85+$107.15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.825$165.00−$1.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8120.977$151.36+$25.56
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7700.735$147.00−$7.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7230.850$110.49+$16.55
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.7 ft or more? · No0.9300.999$99.85+$6.85
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8060.981$98.10+$17.50
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.8800.977$97.65+$9.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 12:03US imports Russian diesel by December 31?BUY0.68$12.75
10-11 17:14Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?BUY0.29$58.00
10-11 05:59US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.55$55.00
10-11 05:51Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?BUY0.7$14.00
10-11 05:49Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?BUY0.73$29.20
10-11 04:49Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.5398039216$55.06
10-11 04:47Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.419656271$50.06
10-11 04:47Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.3254668708$29.77
10-09 13:18US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.933$93.30
10-09 13:18US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.988$73.96
10-05 15:41Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.08$2.54
10-05 15:40Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.09$24.15
10-03 12:46Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.13$78.00
10-03 03:50Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?BUY0.43$97.83
10-01 04:33Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?BUY0.23$23.00