PolyBot

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Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-28
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.04. Range 0.04 to 0.39. 75 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.09102102
0.10440542
0.1110552
0.1220572
0.1343615
0.145620
0.2295715
0.2355770
0.2414784
0.25200984
0.2712996
0.291001,096

Spread0.04Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.059292
0.04597
0.03460557
0.02276833
0.0165898

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.959292
0.96597
0.97460557
0.98276833
0.9965898

Spread0.04Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.91102102
0.90440542
0.8910552
0.8820572
0.8743615
0.865620
0.7895715
0.7755770
0.7614784
0.75200984
0.7312996
0.711001,096

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
2B9SYes20
AJSVYes7
0xa5ef…2966No720
cef0b057C63B71b6F29b48299433No7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:06:56BUYNo0.957$6.65