PolyBot

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Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-28
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.09. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.07 to 0.43. 73 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.104545
0.1171116
0.12400516
0.195521
0.28135656
0.29280936
0.3020956
0.595001,456
0.60401,496
0.622001,696
0.74801,776
0.882001,976

Spread0.02Mid0.09

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.085353
0.06580632
0.051,2801,912
0.0451,917
0.03201,937
0.022622,199
0.01752,274

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.925353
0.94580632
0.951,2801,912
0.9651,917
0.97201,937
0.982622,199
0.99752,274

Spread0.02Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.904545
0.8971116
0.88400516
0.815521
0.72135656
0.71280936
0.7020956
0.415001,456
0.40401,496
0.382001,696
0.26801,776
0.122001,976

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
DJBLAKYes100
SH1L0HYes88.46
2B9SYes20
AJSVYes20
big-bird1Yes12
0xa5ef…2966No720
KiruaTradingNo220.46

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:12:54BUYYes0.1112$1.32
18:12:52BUYYes0.11100$11.00
19:05:08BUYYes0.1120$2.20
19:05:06BUYYes0.120$2.00
17:33:43BUYYes0.113043477688$10.00