PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 20%-25%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.13 to 0.15. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.146060
0.162080
0.2820100
0.2953153
0.5745198
0.5840238
0.6250288
0.6390378
0.651,8292,206
0.702,6674,873
0.7174,880
0.73804,960

Spread0.02Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.124040
0.012464

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.884040
0.992464

Spread0.02Mid0.87

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.866060
0.842080
0.7220100
0.7153153
0.4345198
0.4240238
0.3850288
0.3790378
0.351,8292,206
0.302,6674,873
0.2974,880
0.27804,960

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
6548921Yes156.19
AJSVYes45.28
0x00f79735D67E741fb2dB4cd623f6375326957fFYes30.66
2B9SYes20
0xca75…0a64Yes20
Dr.PNLYes19.98
resilience26Yes1
0xa5ef…2966No293.02

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:25:57SELLYes0.121$0.12
15:20:39SELLYes0.1320$2.60
15:18:59BUYNo0.8720$17.39
15:18:57SELLYes0.14331$46.38
15:18:57BUYNo0.8759$51.33
15:18:56BUYNo0.865800348820$17.40
11:37:50SELLNo0.8540$34.00
22:07:21SELLNo0.85171$145.53
22:07:07SELLNo0.8520$17.00
22:04:49SELLNo0.8512$10.20
22:04:00SELLNo0.8320$16.60
22:03:03SELLNo0.8520$17.00
22:02:49BUYYes0.1561$9.19
22:02:40SELLNo0.8540$34.00
22:02:36BUYYes0.14338$47.35
22:02:36BUYYes0.1520$3.00
11:53:06BUYNo0.875$4.35
11:52:06BUYNo0.8720$17.40
11:51:40SELLNo0.8642$36.12
08:12:36SELLYes0.1319$2.50
17:17:37BUYYes0.1519$2.88
17:17:36BUYNo0.8732$27.83
16:50:24BUYNo0.8715$13.05
16:50:24BUYNo0.875$4.35
16:49:46SELLNo0.8620$17.20