Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-29
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.27. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.10 to 0.35. 40 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	20	20
0.47	40	60
0.48	33	93
0.50	20	113
0.69	195	308
0.70	240	548
0.71	300	848
0.74	80	928
0.76	5	933
0.77	300	1,233
0.79	300	1,533
0.80	1,000	2,533

Spread0.14Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	2,288	2,288
0.04	100	2,388
0.03	21	2,409
0.02	252	2,661
0.01	10	2,671

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	2,288	2,288
0.96	100	2,388
0.97	21	2,409
0.98	252	2,661
0.99	10	2,671

Spread0.14Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	20	20
0.53	40	60
0.52	33	93
0.50	20	113
0.31	195	308
0.30	240	548
0.29	300	848
0.26	80	928
0.24	5	933
0.23	300	1,233
0.21	300	1,533
0.20	1,000	2,533

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	45.51
balthazar	Yes	28.18
user089	Yes	12.5
0xa5ef…2966	No	73.68
0x734Aac8d054CCdFE0c56508DC39b1fE900676Aef-1776813954204	No	12.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:01:00	BUY	No	0.8	13	$10.00
13:46:42	BUY	No	0.98	13	$12.26
13:46:18	BUY	No	0.98	1	$1.39
13:46:17	BUY	No	0.98	13	$12.44
13:46:14	BUY	No	0.98	19	$18.51