Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-07-01
- Resolves by
- https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | 100 | 100 |
| 0.91 | 46 | 146 |
| 0.92 | 81 | 227 |
| 0.93 | 135 | 362 |
| 0.94 | 180 | 542 |
| 0.97 | 6 | 548 |
| 0.98 | 20 | 568 |
| 0.99 | 11 | 579 |
Spread0.41Mid0.48
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 213 | 213 |
| 0.27 | 5 | 218 |
| 0.22 | 5 | 223 |
| 0.19 | 45 | 268 |
| 0.18 | 70 | 338 |
| 0.17 | 5 | 343 |
| 0.14 | 5 | 348 |
| 0.10 | 21 | 369 |
| 0.08 | 7 | 376 |
| 0.07 | 20 | 396 |
| 0.03 | 5 | 402 |
| 0.02 | 15 | 417 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | 213 | 213 |
| 0.73 | 5 | 218 |
| 0.78 | 5 | 223 |
| 0.81 | 45 | 268 |
| 0.82 | 70 | 338 |
| 0.83 | 5 | 343 |
| 0.86 | 5 | 348 |
| 0.90 | 21 | 369 |
| 0.92 | 7 | 376 |
| 0.93 | 20 | 396 |
| 0.97 | 5 | 402 |
| 0.98 | 15 | 417 |
Spread0.41Mid0.52
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 100 | 100 |
| 0.09 | 46 | 146 |
| 0.08 | 81 | 227 |
| 0.07 | 135 | 362 |
| 0.06 | 180 | 542 |
| 0.03 | 6 | 548 |
| 0.02 | 20 | 568 |
| 0.01 | 11 | 579 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AIbubble | Yes | 180 |
| 0x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-1766855317883 | Yes | 86.29 |
| pombos | Yes | 20 |
| 0x7c14bDd7D62B9a7824C220EE39a9b58773F05783-1773587380195 | Yes | 20 |
| chamillion | Yes | 20 |
| 0xEae721187d1113C0a9BB79d2a13335F7d8618E9E-1734009839636 | Yes | 6.25 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 2.41 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 314.96 |
| Slackjaw | No | 20 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:32:39 | SELL | Yes | 0.45 | 40 | $18.00 |
| 01:48:31 | SELL | Yes | 0.46 | 20 | $9.20 |
| 21:50:40 | BUY | No | 0.5 | 24 | $12.01 |
| 21:32:06 | BUY | No | 0.5 | 100 | $50.00 |
| 14:22:29 | BUY | No | 0.4850504962 | 40 | $19.60 |
| 11:45:32 | BUY | No | 0.45 | 40 | $18.00 |
| 09:51:32 | BUY | Yes | 0.44 | 20 | $8.80 |
| 03:50:26 | SELL | Yes | 0.46 | 20 | $9.20 |
| 03:50:14 | BUY | Yes | 0.36 | 20 | $7.20 |
| 00:38:22 | SELL | No | 0.4166666667 | 60 | $25.00 |
| 21:44:44 | BUY | No | 0.41 | 60 | $24.60 |
| 00:16:24 | BUY | No | 0.38 | 40 | $15.20 |
| 02:59:12 | BUY | Yes | 0.34 | 20 | $6.80 |
| 01:23:32 | BUY | Yes | 0.65 | 20 | $13.00 |
| 01:23:32 | BUY | Yes | 0.65 | 24 | $15.60 |
| 01:23:32 | BUY | Yes | 0.65 | 20 | $13.00 |
| 01:23:30 | BUY | Yes | 0.61 | 64 | $39.04 |
| 23:01:11 | BUY | No | 0.36 | 14 | $4.95 |
| 11:52:57 | SELL | Yes | 0.63 | 6 | $3.94 |
| 10:53:24 | BUY | Yes | 0.41 | 20 | $8.20 |
| 05:24:57 | SELL | Yes | 0.57 | 20 | $11.40 |
| 23:59:32 | BUY | No | 0.37 | 20 | $7.40 |
| 12:06:27 | BUY | Yes | 0.36 | 20 | $7.20 |
| 11:30:08 | SELL | Yes | 0.53 | 0 | $0.26 |
| 05:24:39 | BUY | No | 0.43 | 40 | $17.20 |