PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 16, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-17
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.10 to 0.24. 16 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.182020
0.351030
0.362050
0.523080
0.5320100
0.5745145
0.5820165
0.59800965
0.807972
0.8120992
0.8781,000
0.89501,050

Spread0.16Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0233
0.01210213

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9833
0.99210213

Spread0.16Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.822020
0.651030
0.642050
0.483080
0.4720100
0.4345145
0.4220165
0.41800965
0.207972
0.1920992
0.1381,000
0.11501,050

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes95
GuyFromTinderYes18.67
Numitus1994Yes18
boempieYes1.9
navberNo115.57
0xa5ef…2966No18

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:28:29BUYNo0.9818$17.64
13:30:23BUYNo0.854828621339$33.06
13:30:12BUYNo0.849999998738$32.68
13:25:32BUYNo0.849999998738$32.68