Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 5-10%?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-08
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.22. Range 0.09 to 0.22. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	169	169
0.17	130	299
0.20	40	339
0.23	40	379
0.24	20	400
0.25	105	505
0.26	5	510
0.59	550	1,060
0.60	300	1,360
0.62	5	1,365
0.66	1,882	3,247
0.70	2,667	5,914

Spread0.02Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	75	75
0.13	194	269
0.12	22	291
0.11	50	341
0.10	21	362
0.09	143	505
0.05	300	805
0.01	27	832

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	75	75
0.87	194	269
0.88	22	291
0.89	50	341
0.90	21	362
0.91	143	505
0.95	300	805
0.99	27	832

Spread0.02Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	169	169
0.83	130	299
0.80	40	339
0.77	40	379
0.76	20	400
0.75	105	505
0.74	5	510
0.41	550	1,060
0.40	300	1,360
0.38	5	1,365
0.34	1,882	3,247
0.30	2,667	5,914

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
procrypter	Yes	40
ImNotBetting	Yes	35.53
pellooo	Yes	20
0x0d3dbEA9C4707F50Bc4bDd4cfcB034CfaeDcaa93-1772305407452	Yes	9.47
GuyFromTinder	Yes	9.4
pppnn	Yes	5
0xa5ef…2966	No	115.54
AJSV	No	3.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:05:58	BUY	No	0.85	20	$17.00
12:04:51	BUY	No	0.88	3	$2.76
12:04:26	BUY	Yes	0.1899999962	11	$2.00
22:06:59	BUY	No	0.88	5	$4.40
01:11:30	BUY	No	0.83	22	$18.26
01:10:19	SELL	Yes	0.17	18	$3.06
01:10:15	BUY	No	0.83	9	$7.80
01:10:15	BUY	No	0.83	18	$14.94
11:18:29	BUY	No	0.81	20	$16.20
17:16:37	BUY	Yes	0.12	25	$3.00
08:55:37	SELL	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
12:33:43	BUY	No	0.84	5	$4.20
09:08:46	BUY	No	0.95	10	$9.50
09:08:45	BUY	No	0.95	10	$9.50
09:00:15	BUY	No	0.85	20	$17.00
04:41:25	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60