Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-16

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.009. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.009 to 0.020. 142 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	244,171	244,171
0.011	5,800	249,971
0.012	2,543	252,514
0.013	500	253,014
0.014	796	253,810
0.015	3,000	256,810
0.016	6,500	263,310
0.017	4,000	267,310
0.018	50,000	317,310
0.020	1,764	319,074
0.022	5,000	324,074
0.025	1,500	325,574

Spread0.001Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.009	836,926	836,926
0.008	132,939	969,865
0.007	156,149	1,126,015
0.006	59,768	1,185,783
0.005	390,724	1,576,507
0.004	547,003	2,123,510
0.003	1,565,426	3,688,935
0.002	2,108,417	5,797,352
0.001	3,059,632	8,856,984

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.991	836,926	836,926
0.992	132,939	969,865
0.993	156,149	1,126,015
0.994	59,768	1,185,783
0.995	390,724	1,576,507
0.996	547,003	2,123,510
0.997	1,565,426	3,688,935
0.998	2,108,417	5,797,352
0.999	3,059,632	8,856,984

Spread0.001Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	244,171	244,171
0.989	5,800	249,971
0.988	2,543	252,514
0.987	500	253,014
0.986	796	253,810
0.985	3,000	256,810
0.984	6,500	263,310
0.983	4,000	267,310
0.982	50,000	317,310
0.980	1,764	319,074
0.978	5,000	324,074
0.975	1,500	325,574

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ColdSoap2	Yes	904,243.9
foodenjoyer	Yes	98,396.88
ashash111	Yes	81,168.47
risk-manager	Yes	45,000
HerrieDavis	Yes	9,369.72
pop	Yes	9,080.94
Cashmeowio	Yes	8,605.62
suntori	Yes	5,806.49
0x5CCfD6a813da36425564cbDD3ae4FCAf9fA51188-1768630718005	Yes	5,662.3
0x36ad…27f0	Yes	5,208.2
renzent	Yes	5,000
EirikL	Yes	4,490.31
dacccxx	Yes	4,299.97
Mozckito3	Yes	3,059.97
hzb8848	Yes	2,999.97
Alenko810	Yes	2,784.73
0x7436e5f3352DcA8b917Ef1986E4b63bd560be7D3-1782457750446	Yes	2,746.06
0x895f4b9bC8960AC7e2C7d79e66B39772bdbc200d-1762461799224	Yes	2,622.29
0x9793031523F4B7a0Fa7Ec00089b29FAC94B1789c-1769821449308	Yes	2,450.79
fafafafafafafafsadasdq	Yes	2,363.02

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:53:20	BUY	Yes	0.01	400	$4.00
21:45:32	BUY	Yes	0.01	2	$0.02
21:43:23	SELL	No	0.99	19	$18.99
21:42:57	BUY	No	0.9909999998	19	$19.00
21:42:17	SELL	No	0.99	11	$10.98
21:42:02	BUY	No	0.9909999993	11	$11.00
21:36:32	SELL	Yes	0.009	10,000	$90.00
21:30:32	SELL	Yes	0.009	1,000	$9.00
21:08:50	SELL	Yes	0.009	26,099	$234.90
21:03:38	BUY	No	0.991	15	$14.87
20:50:38	SELL	Yes	0.009	4	$0.04
20:50:24	BUY	Yes	0.01	2	$0.02
20:49:57	BUY	Yes	0.01	2	$0.02
20:47:44	SELL	Yes	0.009	2	$0.02
20:47:18	BUY	Yes	0.01	2	$0.02
18:47:48	BUY	Yes	0.01	100	$1.00
18:07:59	SELL	Yes	0.009	10,000	$90.00
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.991	500	$495.50
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.991	284	$281.25
18:06:20	BUY	No	0.991	332	$329.16
18:06:18	BUY	No	0.991	50	$49.58
18:05:53	SELL	Yes	0.009	43	$0.39
18:02:53	SELL	Yes	0.009	285	$2.57
18:02:18	SELL	Yes	0.009	21	$0.18
18:02:05	SELL	Yes	0.009	3,000	$27.00