0x9793031523F4B7a0Fa7Ec00089b29FAC94B1789c-1769821449308
0x9793031523f4b7a0fa7ec00089b29fac94b1789c
- Realised P&L
- $-25.0k
- Volume
- $4.54M
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $201.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$196.92at 0.750Spread: England (-1.5)
- +$196.41at 0.067Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$157.88at 0.542Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
- +$126.95at 0.116Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
- +$104.55at 0.693Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 15:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0363967243 | $4.00 |
| 07-29 15:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0447949749 | $377.25 |
| 07-29 15:08 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0341793298 | $80.01 |
| 07-29 15:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0429971334 | $300.00 |
| 07-29 15:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0427278485 | $4.71 |
| 07-09 13:04 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $332.58 |
| 07-09 13:03 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0129793525 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 13:03 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0429999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0140000001 | $1.64 |
| 07-09 12:40 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $239.88 |
| 07-09 12:40 | Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0133755414 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 12:39 | Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0118694362 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 12:39 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0429999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 12:39 | Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco? | BUY | 0.006 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 12:39 | Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco? | BUY | 0.0221223404 | $100.00 |