pop
0x6404bfa37fe830e29ee8967e1c3b2a8091d5f250
- Realised P&L
- $25.1k
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $54.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.1kat 0.141Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?
- +$9.3kat 0.111Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?
- +$9.3kat 0.728Will Biden finish his term?
- +$8.6kat 0.055Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
- +$7.4kat 0.634Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.4k |
| 09-14 17:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.7k |
| 09-01 19:10 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.5896044304 | $74.53 |
| 08-29 05:22 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.1k |
| 08-25 20:25 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $11.8k |
| 08-25 20:25 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.1k |
| 08-22 21:21 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.3k |
| 08-21 23:02 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.818 | $568.23 |
| 08-20 00:31 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.5581384054 | $212.60 |
| 08-20 00:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $3.7k |
| 08-18 23:57 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.0411210007 | $5.13 |
| 08-18 23:57 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.040061476 | $14.99 |
| 08-18 23:47 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.056690082 | $6.78 |
| 08-18 23:36 | Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.1189003405 | $105.44 |
| 08-18 23:06 | Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | SELL | 0.0206083489 | $6.82 |