PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Alenko810

0x5c1e13b3623ded6a2ad55bd5248a88599d0a6515

Realised P&L
$795.76
Volume
$55.8k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$112.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration86.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3900.290$68.96$23.78
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0230.009$26.45$36.54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0340.011$16.91$33.09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$104.69
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$46.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 11:42Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3899999987$92.74
07-19 11:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0339999993$50.00
07-19 11:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0226233849$63.00
07-02 23:33Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$46.69
07-02 23:32Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089247518$50.00
07-02 23:31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.342$102.74
05-30 20:48Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1639999993$153.96
05-30 19:32Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.999$1.9k
05-23 11:26Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5799999995$200.56
05-23 11:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.25$156.25
05-23 11:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.15$46.58
05-22 09:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.32$200.00
05-22 09:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999979$59.00
05-06 19:53Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4795427918$209.77
05-05 09:02Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?SELL0.0675829103$62.70