Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.37. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.36 to 0.66. 16 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.40	68	68
0.56	20	88
0.75	20	108
0.86	40	148
0.87	10	158
0.97	13	171
0.98	267	438
0.99	407	845

Spread0.06Mid0.37

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	60	60
0.33	40	100
0.30	29	129
0.25	30	159
0.18	30	189
0.09	30	219
0.05	6	225
0.04	10	235
0.03	10	245
0.02	284	529
0.01	417	946

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	60	60
0.67	40	100
0.70	29	129
0.75	30	159
0.82	30	189
0.91	30	219
0.95	6	225
0.96	10	235
0.97	10	245
0.98	284	529
0.99	417	946

Spread0.06Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.60	68	68
0.44	20	88
0.25	20	108
0.14	40	148
0.13	10	158
0.03	13	171
0.02	267	438
0.01	407	845

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
SuperTests	Yes	74
financegaaaydog	Yes	45.4
0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291	Yes	40
tradetosurvive1	Yes	35
WhiteRiceHoldCo	No	80
AJSV	No	60
title1	No	52.41
TimRob	No	2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:07:23	SELL	Yes	0.33	20	$6.60
13:55:50	SELL	No	0.6	12	$7.20
13:30:11	BUY	Yes	0.3474019524	58	$20.28
13:17:00	BUY	No	0.5753703704	119	$68.35
11:57:12	SELL	Yes	0.42	18	$7.73
10:56:35	BUY	No	0.52	20	$10.40
10:56:35	BUY	No	0.51	80	$40.80
10:56:35	BUY	No	0.52	20	$10.40
10:56:35	BUY	No	0.52	20	$10.40
07:55:50	SELL	Yes	0.44	20	$8.80
06:15:47	BUY	No	0.38	60	$22.80
05:40:35	SELL	No	0.32	20	$6.40
05:03:06	BUY	Yes	0.45	74	$33.30