0x12B908875cdeF3905aa6C58830ae0042B32729eA-1769248814365
0x12b908875cdef3905aa6c58830ae0042b32729ea
- Realised P&L
- $-432.90
- Volume
- $23.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $322.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.054 | $322.09 | −$247.90 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 09:54 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $95.00 |
| 05-25 00:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0248706725 | $40.00 |
| 05-25 00:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $35.00 |
| 05-25 00:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $35.00 |
| 05-25 00:12 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0127923461 | $75.00 |
| 01-24 16:40 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0993926398 | $475.00 |