Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below $30 in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/pricing
Rewards: 40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.31. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.14 to 0.33. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	237	237
0.35	12	250
0.37	50	300
0.40	90	390
0.41	50	440
0.42	90	529
0.45	50	579
0.49	20	599
0.58	20	619
0.74	80	699
0.89	50	749
0.90	41	790

Spread0.06Mid0.31

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	20	20
0.27	219	239
0.26	32	270
0.11	20	290
0.10	41	331
0.06	10	341
0.05	60	401
0.04	100	501
0.02	5	506
0.01	20	526

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	20	20
0.73	219	239
0.74	32	270
0.89	20	290
0.90	41	331
0.94	10	341
0.95	60	401
0.96	100	501
0.98	5	506
0.99	20	526

Spread0.06Mid0.69

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	237	237
0.65	12	250
0.63	50	300
0.60	90	390
0.59	50	440
0.58	90	529
0.55	50	579
0.51	20	599
0.42	20	619
0.26	80	699
0.11	50	749
0.10	41	790

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tywwetherididi	Yes	179.62
Dr.PNL	No	99.62
AJSV	No	40.5
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	No	20
Majas	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:29:04	BUY	Yes	0.34	20	$6.80
20:29:04	BUY	Yes	0.22	180	$39.52
04:14:26	BUY	Yes	0.21	12	$2.52
19:47:44	SELL	Yes	0.13	8	$0.98
19:14:33	SELL	Yes	0.1	13	$1.25
19:14:29	BUY	No	0.71	40	$28.40
11:50:00	BUY	No	0.6	9	$5.18
11:04:20	SELL	No	0.27	11	$3.07
10:39:05	SELL	No	0.6	9	$5.18
10:30:36	BUY	Yes	0.12	40	$4.80
02:37:47	BUY	No	0.73	20	$14.60

Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or below… · PolyBot Pro