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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.37. down 0.12 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.07 to 0.50. 97 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.634646
0.652066
0.81150216
0.82175391
0.949399
0.9515414
0.987421
0.9922443

Spread0.52Mid0.37

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.114040
0.105191
0.09150241
0.0613254
0.0560314
0.04138451
0.03467918
0.027925
0.0129954

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.894040
0.905191
0.91150241
0.9413254
0.9560314
0.96138451
0.97467918
0.987925
0.9929954

Spread0.52Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.374646
0.352066
0.19150216
0.18175391
0.069399
0.0515414
0.027421
0.0122443

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
FrivandusYes208.77
romanew-1-newYes25.56
ManuluYes15.77
0xe0053bEA9474FFB480779c06bf559af0a72B5caa-1782360940865Yes5.88
GeromiNo130
DREAMBIG.No52.93
SlackjawNo20
misha-d1No18.59
0x0a069No10
qcp14No9.21
wedge5No5
0x4db5…ca02No4.91
doesntlistenNo2.49
0x277f…dfc8No2.28
0xca4c…186fNo1.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:59:03BUYYes0.634154690716$10.00
04:40:59BUYYes0.16999988616$1.00
12:21:14SELLYes0.1635$5.65
07:28:57SELLYes0.541$20.59
07:28:48BUYNo0.510$5.00
07:26:18BUYNo0.9215$13.80
07:26:15BUYYes0.085$0.39
07:26:15SELLNo0.920$0.08
07:26:15SELLNo0.920$0.04
07:26:14SELLNo0.920$0.04
07:26:14BUYNo0.93999969921$1.00
07:26:14BUYNo0.933$2.36
07:26:12BUYNo0.935$4.65
07:26:12BUYNo0.92999999221$1.19
07:26:11BUYNo0.92999994881$1.09
07:26:11BUYYes0.084706193857$4.80
17:53:23BUYNo0.951$1.19
17:53:23BUYNo0.951$1.09
17:53:21SELLNo0.924$21.59
17:52:20SELLYes0.0920$1.80
17:41:57SELLNo0.9175$68.25
17:39:47SELLNo0.9120$18.20
17:39:44BUYYes0.0718485433209$15.00
17:39:27SELLNo0.9350$46.50
17:37:06SELLNo0.931$1.13