0xca4c228f01e1c2f754f13cc928831d9994fb186f
- Realised P&L
- $6.82
- Volume
- $960.57
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $32.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.88at 0.782US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.35at 0.880Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
- +$0.82at 0.550Will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "World Cup" on Hot Ones?
- +$0.63at 0.826Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$0.54at 0.650Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Australia vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:10 | Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 01:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.762 | $0.94 |
| 08-04 01:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8039999035 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 06:18 | Will Victor Wembanyama be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 00:46 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.8489999609 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:36 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:44 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 13:39 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 11:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.768 | $0.96 |
| 08-01 11:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.95 |
| 08-01 10:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7989993312 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 10:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 07:38 | Will Victor Wembanyama be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 07:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |