PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x649414f611a73b2c9aa847ae51cd3d55f013c1b7

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$318.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6200.775$212.50+$42.50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2000.345$69.00+$29.00
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.2200.190$21.59−$3.41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.0970.186$7.67+$3.67
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0490.034$4.14−$1.86
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027? · Yes0.1300.095$2.18−$0.82
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0110.002$1.04−$6.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 06:402026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6199999995$170.00
09-23 05:59Kash Patel out by December 31?BUY0.2199999993$25.00
09-08 03:53Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during remarks at Steel Across America?BUY0.1699999983$7.00
09-06 07:25Will Trump say "Constitution" this week?BUY0.289999985$11.00
09-05 09:20Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?BUY0.0742537173$2.00
09-05 09:17Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.049330584$6.00
09-05 09:15Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 9)?BUY0.3799999863$15.00
08-29 03:39Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.12$10.00
08-29 03:38Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0475647842$9.93
08-29 03:38Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0587110558$10.85
08-23 12:19U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?BUY0.096999979$4.00
08-23 12:18U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?BUY0.1304560526$3.00
08-23 12:17US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?BUY0.1129411536$4.00
08-23 12:04Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2$40.00
08-23 11:39Will Trump say "God" this week?BUY0.1466897219$4.00