0x4db57dc68f953d2a3e67d986d8881a08468dca02
- Realised P&L
- $245.78
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 222
- Open portfolio
- $146.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded222
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.03at 0.310Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$71.34at 0.213Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$52.47at 0.432Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.32at 0.180Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$27.03at 0.270Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:38 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $7.90 |
| 08-02 18:38 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $7.90 |
| 08-02 02:25 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.7036988848 | $7.57 |
| 08-02 02:00 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.82 |
| 08-02 00:48 | Will Marco Rubio say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Fox News: My View appearance? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 00:48 | Will Marco Rubio say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Fox News: My View appearance? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.95 |
| 08-01 23:22 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $12.18 |
| 08-01 21:31 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $2.23 |
| 08-01 15:40 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.01 |
| 08-01 15:38 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-01 14:43 | Will Marco Rubio say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Fox News: My View appearance? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.06 |
| 08-01 14:20 | Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.61 |
| 08-01 14:00 | Will Marco Rubio say "Democrat" during Fox News: My View appearance? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.03 |
| 08-01 07:38 | Will Victor Wembanyama be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.69 |
| 08-01 07:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.08 |