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Traders

Manulu

0xda4ce9a3f57b619f3fd2da95c637076464e103e1

Realised P&L
$3.95
Volume
$721.38
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$103.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.8700.875$60.34+$0.34
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3200.315$35.44$0.56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.6340.355$5.60$4.40
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? · Yes0.2540.009$2.32$59.59
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:59Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6341546907$10.00
08-02 05:56Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.8699999993$60.00
08-02 05:51Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.32$36.00
07-02 17:08Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.7674999982$100.00
06-26 18:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.2199999727$5.00
06-17 03:47Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?BUY0.2$1.00
06-09 04:21Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
06-09 04:21Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
06-09 04:21Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
06-03 19:58Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-03 17:14Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.6499999675$5.00
06-03 15:00Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?BUY0.3586115185$35.00
06-03 12:00Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.99$13.37
06-03 11:55Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.3699999674$5.00
06-03 10:50Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSELL0.99$5.89