0x277f95cec512b429728c20cb4e791d53a327dfc8
0x277f95cec512b429728c20cb4e791d53a327dfc8
- Realised P&L
- $79.41
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 906
- Open portfolio
- $107.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded906
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.54at 0.731Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$14.58at 0.784Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$14.00at 0.757Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$13.76at 0.074ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Allershausen (Germany), clay: Louis Van Herck vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
- +$11.47at 0.148England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:55 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7299999861 | $24.08 |
| 10-09 13:50 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7299999625 | $2.14 |
| 10-09 12:12 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7399999864 | $1.09 |
| 10-09 12:12 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7399999864 | $1.09 |
| 10-09 08:53 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999687 | $2.84 |
| 10-09 08:53 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.739999995 | $14.85 |
| 10-09 08:49 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7229999902 | $13.02 |
| 10-09 08:48 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7589999018 | $1.09 |
| 10-09 08:48 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7589999018 | $1.09 |
| 10-09 08:46 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7779999988 | $8.97 |
| 10-09 08:28 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7718521611 | $52.21 |
| 10-09 08:20 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7649999579 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 06:47 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.6750573079 | $39.38 |
| 10-09 05:21 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7539999954 | $35.61 |
| 10-09 05:19 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.7539998381 | $1.09 |