PolyBot

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Traders

0xe0053bEA9474FFB480779c06bf559af0a72B5caa-1782360940865

0xe0053bea9474ffb480779c06bf559af0a72b5caa

Realised P&L
$17.58
Volume
$965.95
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$18.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.4000.905$2.26+$1.26
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.360$2.12+$1.12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0650.079$1.20+$0.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1500.175$1.17+$0.17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.245$1.11+$0.11
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.5100.555$1.09+$0.09
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0770.078$1.01+$0.01
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026? · Yes0.1700.165$0.97$0.03
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$0.94$0.06
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1700.155$0.91$0.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.570$0.81$0.19
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0600.046$0.77$0.23
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1200.085$0.71$0.29
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? · Yes0.0590.042$0.70$0.30
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in August? · Yes0.0800.050$0.63$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 02:51Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-03 11:40Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.0589999464$1.00
08-02 04:43Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-02 04:42Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in August?BUY0.08$1.00
08-02 04:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-31 21:53U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.994$12.57
07-30 11:23NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0890000084$1.00
07-30 02:44U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.0789999325$1.00
07-29 08:38Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?BUY0.0136790039$1.00
07-27 02:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-26 17:29Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-24 19:45Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-24 19:43Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0653464749$1.00
07-24 13:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.12$1.00
07-24 13:48Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?SELL0.87$1.04