0xe0053bEA9474FFB480779c06bf559af0a72B5caa-1782360940865
0xe0053bea9474ffb480779c06bf559af0a72b5caa
- Realised P&L
- $17.58
- Volume
- $965.95
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $18.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.22at 0.045Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.57at 0.079U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$3.76at 0.210US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$2.35at 0.298Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.350Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 02:51 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 11:40 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 04:43 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 04:42 | Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in August? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 04:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:53 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $12.57 |
| 07-30 11:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0890000084 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 02:44 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.0789999325 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 08:38 | Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? | BUY | 0.0136790039 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 02:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 17:29 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 19:45 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 19:43 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0653464749 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 13:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 13:48 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.04 |