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Will Baidu have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-31
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.041. down 0.122 over the period, from 0.163. Range 0.036 to 0.163. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0753030
0.0774272
0.1141082
0.115587
0.600100187
0.601625812
0.602100912
0.6049921
0.6057927
0.60620948
0.6076954
0.94910964

Spread0.069Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00644
0.0048690
0.00315105
0.002139244
0.001237481

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99444
0.9968690
0.99715105
0.998139244
0.999237481

Spread0.069Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9253030
0.9234272
0.8861082
0.885587
0.400100187
0.399625812
0.398100912
0.3969921
0.3957927
0.39420948
0.3936954
0.05110964

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes50
75kfddYes44.98
Numitus1994Yes41.99
LornaPredictsYes20
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes13.63
DeepWaterMarketsYes10
Mojito9Yes6.9
northdrawerYes3.98
0xa5ef…2966No171.48
cigarettesNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:57:38BUYNo0.9943$3.18
12:57:35BUYNo0.99310$9.93
12:57:24BUYNo0.99108910$9.91
12:57:23BUYNo0.9918$17.82
08:46:11BUYNo0.9910$9.90
19:20:30BUYNo0.9910$9.90
14:56:15SELLYes0.00513$0.07
14:55:27BUYNo0.9958$7.46
14:55:21BUYNo0.9955$4.88
14:55:09SELLYes0.0051$0.01
14:54:57SELLYes0.0062$0.01
14:54:47BUYNo0.9945$4.97
14:50:35SELLYes0.0063$0.02
14:49:50BUYNo0.9882$2.24
23:43:18BUYNo0.9885$4.94
23:42:47BUYNo0.9885$4.94
17:42:23BUYNo0.98788235297$6.72
17:42:23BUYNo0.9876$5.92
17:33:33BUYNo0.9875445$4.94
17:33:33BUYNo0.9875$4.93
04:39:52BUYNo0.951016393461$58.01
19:05:28BUYNo0.9862$1.87
19:05:18BUYNo0.98811$10.87
19:02:10BUYNo0.991$1.09
19:02:00BUYNo0.996$5.94