75kfdd
0x87717ec5473f2d87106361c8fe3e1cd01f2ebd76
- Realised P&L
- $-26.17
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $98.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steelers vs. Bills · Bills | 0.130 | 1.000 | $14.60 | +$12.70 |
| Seahawks vs. Titans · Titans | 0.150 | 1.000 | $13.10 | +$11.13 |
| Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.75T in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 1.000 | $10.20 | +$7.55 |
| Bengals vs. Eagles · Bengals | 0.377 | 1.000 | $9.62 | +$6.00 |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds · Under | 0.450 | 1.000 | $8.72 | +$4.80 |
| TownSquare FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.800 | 0.890 | $5.00 | +$0.51 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner · HANJIN BRION | 0.630 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.85 |
| Bears vs. Titans · Bears | 0.491 | 1.000 | $4.05 | +$2.06 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · Yes | 0.430 | 1.000 | $3.96 | +$2.26 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Under | 0.300 | 1.000 | $3.57 | +$2.50 |
| Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) · DN SOOPers | 0.510 | 1.000 | $3.34 | +$1.64 |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds · Under | 0.630 | 1.000 | $2.70 | +$1.00 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana · Ninjas in Pyjamas | 0.352 | 1.000 | $2.55 | +$1.65 |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.643 | 1.000 | $2.46 | +$0.88 |
| Fight to Go the Distance? · No | 0.460 | 1.000 | $1.85 | +$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.58at 0.730Fight to Go the Distance?
- +$0.57at 0.446O/U 0.5 Rounds
- +$0.54at 0.532LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winner
- +$0.50at 0.320O/U 2.5 Rounds
- +$0.50at 0.315LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 01:49 | Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-12 01:46 | Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-12 01:38 | Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-12 01:35 | Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-10 22:25 | Will CJ Abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.14 |
| 08-10 22:20 | Will CJ Abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.14 |
| 08-06 08:05 | Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 08-06 08:03 | Will Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 08-06 07:34 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.85 |
| 07-30 21:04 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SELL | 0.38 | $2.30 |
| 07-30 15:35 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.65 | $4.03 |
| 07-30 00:03 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SELL | 0.38 | $4.03 |
| 07-29 23:06 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | SELL | 0.64 | $4.01 |
| 07-29 16:12 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.55 | $4.32 |
| 07-29 12:41 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.55 | $4.38 |