Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-21 House election by 5% or more?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-03

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.37. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.38. Range 0.14 to 0.41. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	25	25
0.69	121	146
0.74	40	186
0.91	75	261
0.92	17	278
0.94	153	431
0.95	305	736
0.96	397	1,133
0.97	541	1,674
0.98	867	2,541
0.99	2,042	4,583

Spread0.63Mid0.37

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	32	32
0.04	20	52
0.02	62	114

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	32	32
0.96	20	52
0.98	62	114

Spread0.63Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	25	25
0.31	121	146
0.26	40	186
0.09	75	261
0.08	17	278
0.06	153	431
0.05	305	736
0.04	397	1,133
0.03	541	1,674
0.02	867	2,541
0.01	2,042	4,583

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	43.58
alexbonu	Yes	7.42
flexer78	Yes	5
0xE85D8DDD47906a2f644908281C427c9176C84E7F-1791087052329	No	30
NotAnIdiot	No	26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:31:04	BUY	No	0.96	5	$4.80
18:24:10	BUY	No	0.932852612	26	$24.25
15:40:17	BUY	No	0.95	5	$4.75
15:39:17	BUY	No	0.95	5	$4.75
15:38:17	BUY	No	0.95	5	$4.75
15:34:14	BUY	No	0.95	5	$4.75
15:33:17	BUY	No	0.95	5	$4.75