alexbonu
0x31e1cc32e9e5109a73aebf3872f92a29c6b0faff
- Realised P&L
- $-443.42
- Volume
- $71.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,713
- Open portfolio
- $152.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,713
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.65at 0.079Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$30.10at 0.022Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$29.41at 0.092Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
- +$26.48at 0.515Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
- +$26.27at 0.292Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 10:15 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.98 |
| 09-25 10:03 | Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Tatiana Prozorova | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-25 08:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $4.86 |
| 09-25 08:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $4.95 |
| 09-25 08:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-25 05:35 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | BUY | 0.67 | $9.38 |
| 09-25 05:32 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $2.86 |
| 09-25 05:32 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $9.46 |
| 09-25 05:18 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.99 |
| 09-25 05:18 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.49 |
| 09-25 05:00 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | BUY | 0.04 | $9.12 |
| 09-24 18:43 | Genoa 2: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Tom Gentzsch | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 15:07 | Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.43 |
| 09-24 15:06 | Oregon vs. USC | BUY | 0.59 | $3.54 |
| 09-23 04:54 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |