PolyBot

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Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Chile this month?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.35. down 0.15 over the period, from 0.51. Range 0.23 to 0.56. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.522020
0.902141
0.983677
0.9960137

Spread0.33Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.192020
0.14525
0.135075
0.02300375
0.01560935

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.812020
0.86525
0.875075
0.98300375
0.99560935

Spread0.33Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.482020
0.102141
0.023677
0.0160137

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes89.5
0x3ff7…2fa2No40
youtube-traderNo20
0x35fc2761f60ab64855A2A99CcD134f44D665ac54-1780763484342No19.5
chirenbuyuNo10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:25:36BUYNo0.1220$2.40
12:03:24BUYYes0.2610$2.47
11:37:08BUYNo0.730$0.18
11:37:06BUYNo0.735$3.65
11:37:06BUYYes0.2840$11.20
11:21:00SELLNo0.7315$10.77
10:46:38BUYYes0.2920$5.80
14:17:28SELLNo0.6920$13.80
14:17:26BUYYes0.2920$5.80
16:57:45BUYNo0.4720$9.40
16:33:23BUYYes0.2420$4.80
06:00:06BUYNo0.4720$9.40
05:50:01SELLNo0.7620$15.20
05:46:09BUYYes0.1940$7.60