Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-23
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.15. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.10 to 0.15. 22 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	34	34
0.17	168	202
0.18	767	969
0.19	756	1,725
0.20	948	2,674
0.21	486	3,160
0.22	879	4,039
0.23	425	4,464
0.24	712	5,176
0.25	1,842	7,019
0.27	25	7,044
0.29	760	7,804

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	230	230
0.14	294	524
0.13	1,103	1,627
0.12	864	2,491
0.11	270	2,761
0.10	720	3,481
0.09	268	3,749
0.08	1,643	5,392
0.07	91	5,483
0.06	113	5,597
0.05	180	5,777
0.04	235	6,012

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	230	230
0.86	294	524
0.87	1,103	1,627
0.88	864	2,491
0.89	270	2,761
0.90	720	3,481
0.91	268	3,749
0.92	1,643	5,392
0.93	91	5,483
0.94	113	5,597
0.95	180	5,777
0.96	235	6,012

Spread0.01Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	34	34
0.83	168	202
0.82	767	969
0.81	756	1,725
0.80	948	2,674
0.79	486	3,160
0.78	879	4,039
0.77	425	4,464
0.76	712	5,176
0.75	1,842	7,019
0.73	25	7,044
0.71	760	7,804

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	2,000
0xranjan	Yes	1,751.53
mqpcd	Yes	616.85
Joebutt	Yes	313.31
amy888	Yes	200
reefv	Yes	160
Buttz	Yes	104.43
CaprioDiLeo	Yes	71.85
smalltimezzz	Yes	70.42
MartinPNZ	Yes	60
youtube-trader	Yes	36
whereismymoney	Yes	30
Etherapp	Yes	20
WanderingPanda	Yes	9.61
makariso	Yes	7
potedepetroleo	Yes	7
0x6A404F060Ab084322C2a209FB3d4EB328055599E-1763787093689	Yes	5.88
asdfasd11	Yes	5
manuelarias	Yes	2.13
0xf14e…6173	No	3,055.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:49:19	BUY	Yes	0.1699999983	6	$1.00
08:36:20	SELL	No	0.83	43	$35.69
08:36:06	BUY	Yes	0.16	50	$8.00
08:25:20	BUY	Yes	0.16	93	$14.88
08:24:33	BUY	Yes	0.15	17	$2.55
07:01:33	BUY	No	0.8699999968	34	$30.00
05:50:27	BUY	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
05:49:25	BUY	No	0.8699999913	1	$1.00
05:07:54	BUY	Yes	0.15	7	$1.05
05:07:22	SELL	Yes	0.13	36	$4.71
03:22:15	BUY	Yes	0.15	7	$1.05
02:18:37	BUY	No	0.8764458787	14	$12.33
02:09:43	BUY	Yes	0.13	40	$5.20
01:38:37	SELL	Yes	0.14	291	$40.74
01:38:37	BUY	No	0.869999996	20	$17.60
00:59:30	BUY	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00
00:59:25	BUY	Yes	0.16	100	$16.00
00:36:52	SELL	Yes	0.14	40	$5.60
00:25:46	SELL	Yes	0.15	211	$31.65
22:04:50	BUY	Yes	0.15	254	$38.08
22:04:38	BUY	Yes	0.1483653251	323	$47.92
20:16:14	SELL	Yes	0.09	7	$0.60
20:16:06	BUY	Yes	0.1499999925	7	$1.00
19:37:18	BUY	Yes	0.15	104	$15.66
19:14:12	BUY	No	0.8799999958	10	$8.46