0x2dc92a0726a8c00806bc7364b2c730a40beccb15
- Realised P&L
- $-8.30
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $3.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.88at 0.063Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$13.29at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
- +$8.09at 0.110Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
- +$6.69at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$4.17at 0.208Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 23:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 22:59 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-18 02:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:51 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:50 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:39 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:29 | Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.27 |
| 09-13 19:14 | Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 12:50 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.1389999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:07 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:06 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 04:05 | Will CF América win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 03:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 03:33 | Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-09-11? | BUY | 0.0489999982 | $1.00 |